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“among its components, only stock prices and the leading credit index supported the lei in august and over the past six months. Tcb will resume publication once. Economic indicator calendar all release times displayed are eastern time note
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About the conference board leading economic index®(lei) and the conference board coincident economic index®(cei) for the global economy Overnight rate) stock price index dwelling units started The composite indexes are the key elements in an early warning system to signal peaks and troughs in the global business cycle
The cei is a monthly metric that is highly correlated with real gdp
The lei anticipates (or leads) turning points in the. “the china lei declined again in august, marking its eighth consecutive monthly drop in 2025,” said timothy brennan, economic research associate, at the conference board The conference board leading economic index® (lei) for the uk declined in august the conference board leading economic index® (lei) for the united kingdom contracted by 0.3% in august 2025 to 74.3 (2016=100), after no change in july The conference board leading economic index® (lei) for the us declines in august the conference board leading economic index® (lei) for the us declined by 0.5% in august 2025 to 98.4 (2016=100), after a small 0.1% increase in july (upwardly revised from an originally reported 0.1% decline)
The lei fell by 2.8% over the six months between february and august 2025, a faster rate of decline. The consumer confidence survey® reflects prevailing business conditions and likely developments for the months ahead This monthly report details consumer attitudes, buying intentions, vacation plans, and consumer expectations for inflation, stock prices, and interest rates Data are available by age, income, 9 regions, and top 8 states
Download additional assets us consumer confidence.
The lei is a predictive tool that anticipates—or “leads”—turning points in the business cycle by around four months The ten components of the leading economic index® for japan are Real money supply, m2 + cd money yield spread, (10 year gov bonds minus uncollateralized
